China Policy Institute: Analysis


International Relations

What now for the Rebalance?

Written by Ali Wyne.

As U.S. President Barack Obama approaches the end of his time in office, a convergence of developments is challenging his principal foreign-policy initiative, the effort to rebalance America’s strategic equities towards the Asia-Pacific. Continue reading “What now for the Rebalance?”

Donald Trump’s Foreign Policy and China

Written by Alek Chance.

The fact we must all immediately confront when thinking about America’s future foreign policy is that we know very little. Forecasting an incoming president’s foreign policy is always a difficult task—see, for example, the promised “humble” foreign policy of George W. Bush. Speculation about Trump’s direction is even less grounded than it normally is at this juncture. It is then important to ask ourselves, what do we know and what do we not know? Otherwise, we run the risk of constructing future expectations and understandings upon current misconceptions. More importantly, expectations about Trump may influence the decisions of other states in the near future, including China. Continue reading “Donald Trump’s Foreign Policy and China”

How China’s SOEs Impede US-China Economic Integration

Written by Ho-fung Hung.

Since Trump’s surprise election win, many have speculated whether he will fulfill his campaign promise to stop US companies’ outsourcing to China by raising tariffs against Chinese-made goods and penalizing US companies that have shifted their operation to China. If this becomes reality, it will be a major retreat from the increasing US-China economic integration since China’s accession to the WTO in 2001, when many US companies took advantage of China’s grand opening to the world and joined the global rush to invest there. Continue reading “How China’s SOEs Impede US-China Economic Integration”

China’s WTO Compliance: The US Reaction

Written by David Shinn.

The United States has had an annual trade deficit with China going back more than 30 years. In 2015, U.S. exports to China totaled $116 billion while imports from China reached $483 billion, leaving a U.S. trade deficit of $367 billion. China is the largest source of United States’ imports and the third largest destination for U.S. exports. This deficit situation focuses Washington like a laser beam on China’s WTO compliance even though sales by foreign affiliates of U.S. firms in China offset some of the deficit. The deficit may also heighten Washington’s desire to find fault with China’s WTO compliance. Continue reading “China’s WTO Compliance: The US Reaction”

A Taiwan Defense Blueprint for the Trump Era

By J. Michael Cole

The election of Donald J. Trump as president of the United States on November 9 is expected to bring change — how drastic remains to be seen — to different aspects of U.S. policy, both domestically and internationally. Largely the result of mounting discontent with the U.S. political establishment, Trump’s successful campaign also tapped into a growing segment of American voters who want a U.S. global disengagement. Continue reading “A Taiwan Defense Blueprint for the Trump Era”

Putting Britain First: The Sino-UK ‘Golden Era’ with Theresa May Characteristics

Written by Winnie King

“The golden era of British-Chinese relations will continue,” Prime Minister Theresa May stated September 2nd on her way to the G20 in Hangzhou, China. Will it however, be the 24 carat of the days of Cameron and Osborne? Or have delays linked to Hinkley Point irrevocably tarnished the gleam of relations? If President Xi Jinping’s statement during the G20 Summit is any indication, he is willing to ‘show patience,’ giving Mrs. May time to frame and launch her vision of British foreign policy and economic relations. Continue reading “Putting Britain First: The Sino-UK ‘Golden Era’ with Theresa May Characteristics”

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