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China Policy Institute: Analysis

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High-tech China-US arms race threatens to destabilise East Asia

Written by James Samuel Johnson.

After decades of peace, East Asia is racked with tension – and its two dominant military powers are jostling for supremacy in an extremely alarming way.

The US and China are accumulating increasingly advanced military systems to enable and enhance the assets they already have. With the Trump administration’s foreign policy still unclear and China’s aspirations to regional supremacy as ambitious as ever, they are racing to deny each other the upper hand by rolling out new military assets. Continue reading “High-tech China-US arms race threatens to destabilise East Asia”

China’s new anti-corruption body raises worrying questions about the rule of law

Written by Zhiqiong June Wang.

Corruption is thought to cost China US$86 billion each year. Widespread corruption at all levels of Chinese society also worsens economic inequality, which could potentially lead to social unrest.

Although no one doubts the importance of efforts to curb graft, anti-corruption campaigns under the leadership of Chinese President Xi Jinping have been controversial. Continue reading “China’s new anti-corruption body raises worrying questions about the rule of law”

As tensions in the region rise, Japan again debates its pacifist constitution

Written by Craig Mark.

Japan could finally be gearing up for the first-ever change to its constitution. In a recent video address to a pro-constitutional revision lobby group on the Constitution Day public holiday, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe declared “the time is ripe” to begin a debate on possible change.

This is the clearest statement yet of Abe’s ambition to alter the pacifist Article 9 of the Constitution. He set a target date of 2020, when he hopes Japan will “be born anew”. Continue reading “As tensions in the region rise, Japan again debates its pacifist constitution”

Is China on the verge of a banking crisis?

Written by Damian Tobin.

A variety of indicators suggest that China has come perilously close to a banking crisis. So far, the government has managed to keep things in check. A state-led debt restructuring indicates Chinese officials have learnt some of the lessons of the bad loan crisis faced by state banks in the 1990s. Tight control over banks and their senior personnel has long given China a ready-made platform to control its financial institutions. Continue reading “Is China on the verge of a banking crisis?”

China’s unloading of FX reserves, spillbacks, and quantitative tightening

Written by Miriam L. Campanella.

China’s economic strength often is referred to $3 trillion in foreign currency reserves. Piled up since the 90s with the start of the new economic policy, the composition of this wealth is made up by 70 percent (or $2.3 trillion)  in U.S. dollar assets.  Yet, , if China  were  planning for a sell-out, the Fed’s zero-bound interest rate and a  depreciating dollar,  would  earn  China  very little of these riches. Continue reading “China’s unloading of FX reserves, spillbacks, and quantitative tightening”

Why China is serious about becoming the global leader on climate change

Written by David Tyfield.

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