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China Policy Institute: Analysis

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Donald Trump

China, South Korea, the U.S. and THAAD

Written by Stephan Haggard.

It is hard to know which country would be the first to challenge the Trump administration with a serious foreign policy crisis, but North Korea was clearly a candidate. With Kim Jong Un’s personal promise to test when he felt like it in his New Year’s speech and Trump’s “not going to happen,” it seemed like a good bet that Pyongyang would provide an early test. But as Secretary of Defense Mattis heads to the Asia-Pacific to reassure Japan and Korea on the alliances, the real test may be more subtle: subtle Chinese pressure on South Korea to reverse its commitment to deploy a missile-defense system called THAAD (Terminal High Altitude Areas Defense). Continue reading “China, South Korea, the U.S. and THAAD”

U.S. Government Commission Strategic Policy Analysis

Written by Bert Chapman.

Bilateral relations between China and the U.S. encompass multiple issues including human rights, space power, trade relations, currency manipulation, cyber power, China’s increasing military assertiveness in the East and South China Seas, Beijing’s desire to implement this assertiveness through international legal forums and its economic assistance to other countries, and its desire to get other countries to submit to its desire to restrict international support for Taiwan. Continue reading “U.S. Government Commission Strategic Policy Analysis”

Xi Jinping may be preaching trade, but China’s opening up has slowed

Written by James Laurenceson.

When it comes to offering global economic leadership, the divergence in narrative and optics coming from the US and China could hardly be starker.

On Tuesday Chinese President Xi Jinping became the first Chinese leader to attend a meet of the World Economic Forum (WEF), where he also delivered a keynote address warning against protectionism. Accompanying him were the heavyweights of China’s now huge private sector, including Wang Jianlin, China’s richest person and chairman of property developer Dalian Wanda, and Jack Ma, boss of internet and e-commerce giant, Alibaba. Continue reading “Xi Jinping may be preaching trade, but China’s opening up has slowed”

The Art of a Trump-China deal

Written by David Brown.

China’s leaders may have hoped that U.S. President-elect Trump’s vow to deal roughly with China on trade issues was just campaign rhetoric. But the incoming administration is clearly intent on changing Beijing’s behavior. They’ve certainly got its attention with Trump’s unprecedented phone call to Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文), and Secretary of State nominee Rex Tillerson’s confrontational comments on the South China Sea in his confirmation hearing on Jan. 11.  Continue reading “The Art of a Trump-China deal”

Trump Swings for the Fences on Taiwan

Written by Wayne Pajunen.

When U.S. President-elect Donald Trump respectfully referred to China’s debased “leader on Taiwan” as “President Tsai Ing-wen” in a historic phone call that still rings around the world, controversy over China–U.S. relations stepped up to the plate.

Why would Trump in the spring training of his presidency choose confrontation with Beijing in his first at-bat in the ballpark of international diplomacy? Continue reading “Trump Swings for the Fences on Taiwan”

São Tomé and Príncipe drops Taiwan, embraces China

Written by J. Michael Cole.

The African nation of São Tomé and Príncipe on December 20 announced that it was severing diplomatic relations with the Republic of China (Taiwan) and establishing ties with the People’s Republic of China.

Following the news, Taipei announced that it was immediately severing diplomatic ties with the African country and withdrawing all diplomatic and technical personnel.

Taiwan now has 21 official diplomatic allies worldwide, and just two in Africa—Burkina Faso and Swaziland. Continue reading “São Tomé and Príncipe drops Taiwan, embraces China”

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